This will chronicle trading in the FKLI & FCPO futures. If you don't like what you see/read in this blog, just surf away. These opinions are our personal opinions and just a record of our thoughts..."In evolution, it’s not the biggest, the fiercest nor the smartest that survive, it’s the one that changes the fastest.” I.e. the key word is to adapt the trading style to the markets, until it stops working
Tuesday, August 31, 2010
Looks like the Arsenal-Mark Schwarzer deal is off.... So, can't see more of the Socceroos stopper in action on TV.
ES and NQ index futures 2 min charts for opening tonight. With Bursamalaysia connection to Globex, here's hoping the traders get access to these products, at CME local rates.
Disappointment as Man City lost to a last min goal v Sunderland. Doesn't justify the $millions spent. Just like in trading, the bigger they are no matter how much $$ they think they have, manipulation does not pay off. Case in point FCPO....
20100827 HP and Dell are having a takeover battle over 3PAR, a cloud computing company. .... the employees and owners of 3PAR who has any share options are laughing to the bank. HP and Dell are both tech companies with huge cashpiles in the billions. Another nail in the double dip story...
Tiger Woods regains some form after his divorce with ex wife Elin Nordegren. Like trading, if one is not right emotionally or has something in life bothering oneself, the performance is not peak...
Don't you think Tiger is crazy to stray from this marriage? Anyway he will be trying to keep the no 1 spot on the world rankings.
Emini S&P500 futures reverses off the mornig lows.(15 min) Looks like Raubini's cronies covering.... GDP came in at 1.6% for the 2nd quarter, another nail in the 'double dip' story...
Where is the $ flowing? FBM KLCI and FBM70 (4 hr charts). And throw in a chart of the 'darling' stocks of the retail inve, Supermax.
It is always good to remember the adage of value investing, "when you buy a stock, have expectations that it will just as likely go up 33% as it will go down 50%".
I agree with this guy's comments on the Double dipstickers view of the probability of double dip recession. Basically it is FBS. And these ivy leaguers and academics get huge research grants or huge salaries/bonuses, to make the.
But I don't agree that these economists/strategists' are well intentioned. They are basically expousing a view to align market direction to their firm's positions.(eg Goldman Sachs) Don't believe any reseach that a firm which has a proprietary trading desk taking positions. None of the research/advice is independent nor objective.
20100827 1512 Sime Darby daily chart.... breakout. So it seems the last of the Mohicans were scared out dog piling panic sells on the so called "news" of losses in the company....
2010827 1057 Those dog piling into shorts two days ago on huge volume, based on the manipulated 'cargo surveyor' numbers, today are really turning into turtle soup.... 15 min fcpo futures.
The saga continues, will the Gunners get a new no 1, one of the best goalkeepers in the world, Mark Schwarzer, or will Fulham's greed to get more $$ torpedo the deal... Watch this space.
20100826 1548 FKLI futures 5 min chart, breaks out of the 1396 upper resistance. Now there is a divergence, which may play out (short) or turn into a Hound of the Baskerville signal.(long)
An interesting insight into human being's biases that will usually stop aspiring individuals succeding at trading or the financial markets...
There are two evolutionary biases common to humans and monkeys, risk aversion and loss aversion. Risk aversion means that given a choice between a safe option (extra $500) and a risky option (a risky bet to risk 1000 to get another 1000) subjects tend to take the easy option. In trading then once a trade goes into profit, the tendency os to take profit quickly and not let the trade run.
The other is loss aversion, which means the subjects hate losses, because they keep thinking in relative terms, eg on where they bought a stock at, and now it has fallen and in a loss situation. They tend to take the more risky situation in the decision tree, ie average the trade down in the hope for a rebound, in order to mitigate the loss, which they hate.
No recession also will be moulded into a recession, but remember it needs 2 consecutive quarters of negative economic growth.(GDP)
They are so powerful that even breaking the law, get charged, just get off scott free with a fraction of their ill gotten profits as fine, no onw went to jail, no fault found or guilt admitted. With that power, they can move the markets at will.
World stock markets retreated Tuesday as the strong yen knocked Japanese shares and investors anticipated more bad news from U.S. economic reports this week."
Goldman Sachs says "25% chance of double dip"=bullshit
---------- Forwarded message ---------- From: Keith Toh<keithytoh@gmail.com> Date: Tue, Aug 24, 2010 at 11:06 AM Subject: "25% chance of double dip"=bullshit To: keithytoh@gmail.com
I lean towards the definition of "2 consecutive quarters of negative economic growth"
"In a 1975 New York Times article, economic statistician Julius Shiskin suggested several rules of thumb for defining a recession, one of which was "two down quarters of GDP".[3] In time, the other rules of thumb were forgotten,[4] and a recession is now often defined simply as a period when GDP falls (negative real economic growth) for at least two quarters.[5][6] Some economists prefer a definition of a 1.5% rise in unemployment within 12 months.[7]
In the United States, the Business Cycle Dating Committee of the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) is generally seen as the authority for dating US recessions. The NBER defines an economic recession as: "a significant decline in [the] economic activity spread across the country, lasting more than a few months, normally visible in realGDP growth, real personal income, employment (non-farm payrolls), industrial production, and wholesale-retail sales."[8] Almost universally, academics, economists, policy makers, and businesses defer to the determination by the NBER for the precise dating of a recession's onset and end."
because it is objective. Eiother black or white, not grey. Damn ivy League brains like in Goldman Sachs, lean towards grey to hoodwink the public.
20100823 1719 Nov FCPO futures 15 min chart, when the market closes above the High of the Low Bar=long.... What can we say, FKLI futures closes 1401, a prelude to the parabolic move...?????
20100823 Daily KLCI RSI(14) has hit the 80 level, extremely overbought? My trading partner alluded me to this fact... Normally when the market tops, it is a process whereby divergence will take effect. With daily rsi>80, inevitably when the market corrects will be a shp one.. Let's if he is correct.
I think the market is at crossroad, either shoot up vertically, or correct sharply...
First Indian to win PGA Tour tournament, does sub continent proud...
Arjun Atwal, above, made history last night when he won the Wyndham Championship by one stroke to become the first Indian to win on the PGA Tour. Atwal, 37, who started the final round with a three-stroke lead, secured victory by sinking a pressure-packed putt for par from seven feet at the final hole.
The Sydney Swans beat Western Bulldogs 17.12 (114) to 10.10 (70) to move into 5th with a genuine chance of playoffs to be played at the SCG, ... a repeat farewell for Brett Kirk and Paul Roos. Anyway they only need to beat the Lions next week to ensure a home berth in the finals...
"There is the plain fool who does the wrong thing at all times anywhere, but there is the Wall Street fool who thinks he must trade all the time."J Livermore