Breaking News

•Dubai World's Debt Isn't Guaranteed by Government, Finance Official Says
•Emerging Markets Rebound, Dollar Drops as Concern of Dubai Default Eases
•Dubai Shares Sink, Abu Dhabi Index Drops Most in Eight Years on Debt Delay
•Yen Options Signal Fujii Intervention Threats No Barrier to Weaker Dollar
•In-Geithner-We-Trust Market Brings Lowest Treasury Yields With Record Debt
•Holiday Sales Will Drop 1% in U.S. as Forecasters See `Disciplined' Buying
•Celgene Cancer Pill to Triple Sales on Data That Threaten J&J Dominance
•Iran's Plans to Build Uranium Enrichment Plants Condemned by U.K., France
•Demjanjuk Nazi Trial to Start, Raising Historic Questions, Legal Obstacles

20091130 1715 FBM KLCI has broken an uptrend line on the KLCI. Most probably the correction will continue in the days ahead....

20091130 FCPO futures 5 min....

20091130 1514 FCPO futures 5 min chart rises off support in uptrend... the divergence from this morning helps.

Dubai saga continues from Bloomberg.com

Dubai saga continues:

Breaking News

•Asian Stocks, Currencies Rise on Optimism Dubai World Losses Won't Spread •U.A.E. Central Bank Says It `Stands Behind' Lenders, Offers Loan Facility •Yen Options Signal Fujii Intervention Threats No Barrier to Weaker Dollar •Yen Rises as Dubai World Unit Nakheel Suspends Trading of Islamic Sukuks •In-Geithner-We-Trust Market Brings Lowest Treasury Yields With Record Debt •IPO Returns in Emerging Markets Trample New Shares in Developed Countries •Trichet Putting Money Where Mouth Is Shows Dexia-Like Laggards Among Banks •Iran Plans to Build 10 More Uranium Enrichment Plants in Defiance of UN •Obama's Plan Must Help Speed Build-Up of Afghan Army, Senator Levin Says

20091130 1359 4hr gbpusd (cable) has turned up, bias toward the long side...

20091130 1213 CPO futures (feb09) gravitates up towards the mid bb.

20091130 1055 25 mins after fcpo opening... A divergence on the 5 min fcpo chart.

20091130 1012 FKLI futures Dec 09 futres, ping pong between the bollinger bands on the 5 min today....

The stock market guru's view.
This guy thinks its the end of the world.












20091127 Dubai cris s jolting the markets is the order for the week that passed. Some charts of the world indices.... British banks at risk. The charts are telling the story...

20091128 So the market is crashing. Well if you shorted the Emini S&P500 futures during the US morning session....well, the 5 min chart tells a thousand words.

News headlines: (from Bloomberg.com)

U.S. Stocks, Commodities Slide as Bonds, Dollar Gain on Dubai Debt Crisis
•Dubai Woes May Escalate to `Major Sovereign Default,' Bank of America Says
•Mobius Sees a `Correction' From Dubai Crisis as Das Predicts Risk Aversion
•Dubai Debt May Exceed $80 Billion on Off-Balance-Sheet Liability, UBS Says
•Black Friday Shoppers Crowd Best Buy, Target in Pursuit of `Elusive Game'
•VIX Jumps the Most Since October as Dubai Seeks Debt Payment Postponement
•AvtoVAZ to Get $1.7 Billion From Russia in Technology Accord With Renault •Greenhouse-Gas Pledges by China, U.S. May Drive Climate Deal in Copenhagen
•Germany's Top Nazi-Hunter Finds `Best Break' in Years in Brazilian Archive

Some rantings

Nov 27 Msia on holidays, as equities and currencies/commodities crash as the dumb money runs for the exits. Dubai POTENTIAL default cited. The evil forces do time it very well, on Thanksgiving/Haj holidays.... It is times like this when you are thankful to be 'light'

Cable 15 min shows the sell then covering...

The 'breaking news' from bloomberg.com: (they use it to instill fear)
Breaking News

•Stocks, Commodities Drop on Dubai Debt Concern; Credit-Default Swaps Surge
•Yen Strengthens to 14-Year High, Prompting Speculation Japan to Intervene
•Japan's Hirano Says Rapid Currency Moves Are `Undesirable' as Yen Rallies
•RBS Led Dubai World Lenders, HSBC Has Most at Stake in UAE, JPMorgan Says
•Dubai Debt May Exceed $80 Billion on Off-Balance Sheet Liability, UBS Says
•Shipping Has `Trouble Building Behind Dam,' Ex-Baltic Exchange Head Says
•Sony, Toyota, Japan's Exporters Are on `the Edge of a Cliff' as Yen Surges
•Greenhouse-Gas Pledges by China, U.S. May Drive Climate Deal in Copenhagen
•Philippines Mayor to Face Seven Murder Charges for Massacre of 57 People

20091127 1530 Cable breaks down...

20091126 1715 Well, the 5 min chart of FKLI Dec 09 finally broke in the last 1/2 hour of trade... some news on cds, Dubai default?? Some more stuff on Dubai World saga.

It is uncanny sometimes you get a feeling... divergence on the charts, then an event or catalyst brings it on. I was going to quote Benjamin Graham earlier, but might as well do it here. "At any point in tome, a stock can rise 50% from its low as well as fall 33% from the top" Worth keeping in mind.

20091126 1212 Cable 4 hr turned up yesterday, so looking for longs...

20091125 1955 Was discussing with buddy mike on fx today, we decided that long on eurusd when it broke 1.5000 this afternoon would be good. 30 min chart... If the dollar is weak, then the Dow should be up a little tonight.

20091125 1126 FCPO futures continues the uptrend, after selling down on the China fall yesterday afternoon...

20091124 1748 Cable transitions into short mode. FKLI futures 2 min chart update...

20091123 1352 Cable (gbpusd) is on a buy signal....nearing the stop point. Watching the 4 hr for signs of a turn down.

20091124 0924 Snapshot of the 2 min FKLi futures 2 min chart taken at 0913.

20091123 1731 Fcpo futures uptrend today on the 5 min.....

20091123 1546 The 5 min triangle turned out to be a meaningless nothing trade...

20091123 1115 Meanwhile, the fcpo futures ull is gathering steam....

20091123 0939 5 min FKLI futures.....

20091123 0850 Straight off the bat, we have a triangle formed on the 5 min FKLI futures.

Some divergence on the daily FBM KLCI chart. Looks like the trendline support beckons for the index.

20091121 Some news on Bursamalaysia opening up the fix gateway for dma access to trading of equities. If that is the case, prices will become more efficient vis a vis the FKLI futures and the component stocks... ie any price out of line will be arbitraged away by the algorithms. Here is another article. But notice the first article in the star online still refers to "Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange..." There are still dinosaurs out there adhering to the old ways.

20091120 Where will equity markets head? Answer depends on the direction of the US dollar... Note the headlines from bloomberg.com.

20091120 Cable 15 min chart with a stress free move down...

20091120 1516 The swiss franc loss was a top out....

20091120 1113 FKI futures continued down early morning... It seems the movements are so restrictive that we need to trade the bigger channels.

20091119 2026 We are trying out a long on the usdchf at 1.0188. FKLI futures continues its downward move after closing below the lower median channel line.

20091119 1214 FKLi futures 2 min chart has broken below the large uptrend channel.

20091118 1158 S&P500 cash index resting on support.... worth a punt long on the emini S&P500 futures.

20091117 1749 Cable is grinding its way up... FKLI futures chart in the uptrend channel, a big one...

20091117 1532 A valid buy signal on cable long...