Friday, July 31, 2015

adx?dmi

Directional Movement Index

  • Trade only those markets withanADXR above 25/30.
    • Trending market: ADXR > 25/30 or rising 3 points in 1 week.
    • Non-trending: ADXR < 25/30 and momentum is negative.
  • Signals
    • Buy = up index (+DI) crosses above the down index (-DI)
    • Sell = down index (-DI) crosses above the up index (+DI)
  • Stop out positions using the Extreme Point Rule
    • On the day that +DI and -DI cross, use the extreme point made that day, as the Reversal Point.
    • If you just went long, the reversal stop point is the low made on the day of the crossing.
    • If you just went short, the reversal stop point is the high made on the day of the crossing.
    • Continue to hold this position and the stop, until you are stopped out, even if the lines have crossed.
  • Trend change
    • In strong uptrending moves, the +DI and the ADXR turn up early and move higher, with the +DI generally holding above the ADXR.
    • A high probability signal that the uptrend has stalled or ended is generated when the ADXR line crosses above the +DI, and then turns down. This signal commonly occurs on the day of the trend change or slightly before.
    • It rarely takes more than a few days past a true trend shift to see the ADXR turn down. A warning that a top may be near is often signalled when the +DI stalls and turns down from a high level.

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From Dragons and Bulls by Stanley Kroll
Introduction and Foreword
The Importance of an Investment Strategy
5 The Art of War, by Sun Tau (circa 506 BC) and The Art of Trading Success (circa AD 1994)
That's the way you want to bet
Long-term v Short term trading
Technicals v Fundamentals
Perception v Reality
Part 1: Winners and Losers
Part 2: Winners and Losers
Sun Tzu: The Art of War
Those who tell don't know, those who know don't tell
Why there is no such thing as a "bad market"
The Secret to Trading Success
The Experts, do they know better?
Risk control and money management
Larry Hite: The Billion Dollar fund Manager
Systems Trading:Kroll's Suggested Method
Buy the Strength Sell the Weakness
Good advice
The 'good bets' business by Larry Hite
Don't lose your shirt
Ed Sykota's secret trend trading system