Tuesday, September 10, 2013

Stash that Flash in the Trash


The traders are focussing on the just released PORLA report on CPO stocks and production. Just hogwash do what Ed Sykota says "Stash that flash (news) in the trash"

Basic strategy
 
(a) In a major downtrend: sell on minor trend rallies into overhead resistance or against a strong down trendline, or on a
45% to 55% rally (or the third to fifth day of the rally) from the recent reaction bottom.
(b) In a major uptrend,: buy on minor trend reactions into support or against a strong up trendline, or On a 45% to 55% reaction (or the third to fifth day of the reaction) from the recent rally high. In this regard, it is imperative to note that, if you misread or choose to ignore the trend of the market, and are buying against an entrenched bear market or selling against an
entrenched bull market, you are likely to spill lots of red ink, and feel pretty silly, as well.

3. Your with-the-trend position could result in a big favourable move, so you should try to remain aboard for the ride. By premising that every with-the-trend position could result in the big move, you will be encouraged to resist the many temptations to trade for the minor swings, or to scalp against-the-trend trades.
4. Once the position is going your way and the favourable trend has been confirmed by your technical analysis, you can add to the position (pyramid) under specific conditions, as noted in Chapters 11I and 15.
5. Maintain your position until you are stopped out, and your trend analysis indicates that the trend has reversed. At that point, if you have been attentive to the market, you should be positioned for the newly formed trend.

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"There is the plain fool who does the wrong thing at all times anywhere, but there is the Wall Street fool who thinks he must trade all the time."J Livermore Manchester City FCl Crude Palm Oil

fcpo.blogspot.com


From Dragons and Bulls by Stanley Kroll
Introduction and Foreword
The Importance of an Investment Strategy
5 The Art of War, by Sun Tau (circa 506 BC) and The Art of Trading Success (circa AD 1994)
That's the way you want to bet
Long-term v Short term trading
Technicals v Fundamentals
Perception v Reality
Part 1: Winners and Losers
Part 2: Winners and Losers
Sun Tzu: The Art of War
Those who tell don't know, those who know don't tell
Why there is no such thing as a "bad market"
The Secret to Trading Success
The Experts, do they know better?
Risk control and money management
Larry Hite: The Billion Dollar fund Manager
Systems Trading:Kroll's Suggested Method
Buy the Strength Sell the Weakness
Good advice
The 'good bets' business by Larry Hite
Don't lose your shirt
Ed Sykota's secret trend trading system