Tuesday, February 21, 2012

From p123 of "Come Into My Trading Room", Dr Alexander Elder
 
"Beginners become emotional when they trade, but if you want to
survive and succeed, you must develop discipline. The moment
you become aware of feeling fear or joy, use that as a signal to tighten
your discipline and follow your system. You developed that system
when the markets were closed and you felt calm. Now it gives you
your only chance of survival and success in the markets.
The idea of an automatic trading system is fundamentally flawed. If
those systems could work, then the smartest guy with the biggest com-
puter would have cornered the market long ago. Automatic systems do
not work because the market is not a mechanical or electronic entity
that follows the laws of physics. It is a huge crowd of people acting in
accordance with the imperfect laws of mass psychology. Physics and
mathematics can help, but trading decisions must take psychology into
account.
\When you talk with a pro, one of the first questions he'll ask—or
not even ask because he'll know the answer from a few of your com-
ments—is whether you are a discretionary trader or a system trader.
A discretionary trader takes in market information and analyzes it using
several technical tools. He is likely to shift and apply somewhat different
tools to different markets at different times. I-Iis decision-making tree has
many branches, and he follows them at different times as market condi-
tions change. All branches are connected to the sturdy trunk of his deci-
sion-making tree, an inviolate set of rules for risk control.
A system trader develops a mechanical set of rules for entering and
exiting trades. He backtests them and puts them on autopilot. At that
point, an amateur and a pro go in opposite directions. An amateur,
frightened by the market, feels relieved that a system"

0 Comments:

Post a Comment

<< Home


"There is the plain fool who does the wrong thing at all times anywhere, but there is the Wall Street fool who thinks he must trade all the time."J Livermore Manchester City FCl Crude Palm Oil

fcpo.blogspot.com


From Dragons and Bulls by Stanley Kroll
Introduction and Foreword
The Importance of an Investment Strategy
5 The Art of War, by Sun Tau (circa 506 BC) and The Art of Trading Success (circa AD 1994)
That's the way you want to bet
Long-term v Short term trading
Technicals v Fundamentals
Perception v Reality
Part 1: Winners and Losers
Part 2: Winners and Losers
Sun Tzu: The Art of War
Those who tell don't know, those who know don't tell
Why there is no such thing as a "bad market"
The Secret to Trading Success
The Experts, do they know better?
Risk control and money management
Larry Hite: The Billion Dollar fund Manager
Systems Trading:Kroll's Suggested Method
Buy the Strength Sell the Weakness
Good advice
The 'good bets' business by Larry Hite
Don't lose your shirt
Ed Sykota's secret trend trading system