Thursday, August 19, 2010

Hi gt
Had a chat to Fred about... amongst other stuff, 'too low a price to pass up the long' and 'trend vs swing trading'. Just thought I'd clarify the bias toward longs today.

The trend traded in reality was the day timeframe.(see attached daily fcpo futures chart) If the daily trend is (perceived rightly or wrongly) to be up, the best course of action would be to buy support levels, preferably if the intraday timeframes are 'trending' down.
When one trades the trend, it needs to be qualified by "which timeframe trend". So the l20 exp mov avg provides the support off of which to long, with ADX>30 maintaining the daily uptrend.

Hopw it clears up the bias for today's fcpo trade.

Yours faithfully
emacro

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"There is the plain fool who does the wrong thing at all times anywhere, but there is the Wall Street fool who thinks he must trade all the time."J Livermore Manchester City FCl Crude Palm Oil

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From Dragons and Bulls by Stanley Kroll
Introduction and Foreword
The Importance of an Investment Strategy
5 The Art of War, by Sun Tau (circa 506 BC) and The Art of Trading Success (circa AD 1994)
That's the way you want to bet
Long-term v Short term trading
Technicals v Fundamentals
Perception v Reality
Part 1: Winners and Losers
Part 2: Winners and Losers
Sun Tzu: The Art of War
Those who tell don't know, those who know don't tell
Why there is no such thing as a "bad market"
The Secret to Trading Success
The Experts, do they know better?
Risk control and money management
Larry Hite: The Billion Dollar fund Manager
Systems Trading:Kroll's Suggested Method
Buy the Strength Sell the Weakness
Good advice
The 'good bets' business by Larry Hite
Don't lose your shirt
Ed Sykota's secret trend trading system