Thursday, August 09, 2007

Put warrants needed


20070809 1230. If you open up the Call Warrants sector, there is a dearth of call warrants over companies and even over the indices of KLCI and HSI. But there is something striking, there are no put warrants. This show the one way nature of Bursamalaysia.(except for the FKLI futures contract where one can short while the 90% who can only go long lose money, which is the law of the markets) So, trading the FKLI is far superior to stocks.

In this one way (up) market in Bursamalaysia stocks there are only a few ways to make money:
  • Insider trading. You are in cohorts or know people in high places or investment banks/corporate advisors, so are privy to inside info, can 'buy on fact, sell on fact'. If you don't believe me, take a look at any stock chart of a stock that had just made a material corporate announcement. See for yourself how the stock has run up way before the announcement to make the news public.
  • You have 'contacts'. Those who are the runners who spread 'news flow' for the stock operating syndicates. Just hear the tips, buy and HOPE. But in financial markets, when hope comes into the equation....as in right now in the 'correction', you will get screwed in the end when the music stops and you are still holding the box.
  • You had a wad of money (preferably about RM1m) four years ago, so bought into blue chip stocks. Collect 2.5-3% dividend per year, ride the ups and downs, and now reap the harvest of 60%-70% gain.
  • You were a great thinker with a cunning mind, using 'value investing' principles, buy stocks years ago at below their intrinsic value.(you need a team of people to sieve through the thousands of companies around the world to find value, hopefully you got $ to pay their salaries in the meantime), This is a good and safe way to make money, however it can be like watching grass grow, but in the end you will end up with a bountiful harvest in the forest. The returns will look spectacular if you encounter a multi year bull in equities, but will ge screwed once the market goes into downtrend.

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"There is the plain fool who does the wrong thing at all times anywhere, but there is the Wall Street fool who thinks he must trade all the time."J Livermore Manchester City FCl Crude Palm Oil

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From Dragons and Bulls by Stanley Kroll
Introduction and Foreword
The Importance of an Investment Strategy
5 The Art of War, by Sun Tau (circa 506 BC) and The Art of Trading Success (circa AD 1994)
That's the way you want to bet
Long-term v Short term trading
Technicals v Fundamentals
Perception v Reality
Part 1: Winners and Losers
Part 2: Winners and Losers
Sun Tzu: The Art of War
Those who tell don't know, those who know don't tell
Why there is no such thing as a "bad market"
The Secret to Trading Success
The Experts, do they know better?
Risk control and money management
Larry Hite: The Billion Dollar fund Manager
Systems Trading:Kroll's Suggested Method
Buy the Strength Sell the Weakness
Good advice
The 'good bets' business by Larry Hite
Don't lose your shirt
Ed Sykota's secret trend trading system