Thursday, May 10, 2007






20070510 The Chinese stockmarkets are going to CRASH one day. When that will happen, depends on the forces of demand and supply. At the moment many economists and even China's central bank governor are warning that the market is getting overheated. If you look back in history, we see many examples of bubbles that parralel the current stock market craze in China:
  • the 2nd Board mania in 1996 to 1997 in Malaysia KLSE.
  • The Japanese stock market bubble in the 1990s-busted by an earthquake in Kobe
  • the dot com boom in the US and the world in 2000.
  • the Saidi market mania in 2006
  • the super bull run in KLSE in 1993
  • etc etc
What was the outcome-CRASH. A matter of when, not if, so when China sneezes next, the world will catch a virulent cold. Be aware. Oh one more thing thing, the volume traded on China's two stock markets exceed more than the whole of Japan, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, Hong Kong, Australia, Indonesia, Singapore etc combined. In technical terms=distribution phase, in journalists and financial analysts terms=overheated. As inevitable as the sun setting in the west, the question is in the timing.

0 Comments:

Post a Comment

<< Home


"There is the plain fool who does the wrong thing at all times anywhere, but there is the Wall Street fool who thinks he must trade all the time."J Livermore Manchester City FCl Crude Palm Oil

fcpo.blogspot.com


From Dragons and Bulls by Stanley Kroll
Introduction and Foreword
The Importance of an Investment Strategy
5 The Art of War, by Sun Tau (circa 506 BC) and The Art of Trading Success (circa AD 1994)
That's the way you want to bet
Long-term v Short term trading
Technicals v Fundamentals
Perception v Reality
Part 1: Winners and Losers
Part 2: Winners and Losers
Sun Tzu: The Art of War
Those who tell don't know, those who know don't tell
Why there is no such thing as a "bad market"
The Secret to Trading Success
The Experts, do they know better?
Risk control and money management
Larry Hite: The Billion Dollar fund Manager
Systems Trading:Kroll's Suggested Method
Buy the Strength Sell the Weakness
Good advice
The 'good bets' business by Larry Hite
Don't lose your shirt
Ed Sykota's secret trend trading system