Thursday, November 30, 2006

20061130 Some participants in the market like to indulge in long term forecasting or "looking into the crystal ball". These are forecasts of target levels where they think an instrument or index might 'reach". This can be dangerous, as it will create a 'bias' in a trader/investor's minds, and thus they throw risk management out of the window.(stop loss) In truth long term trading or trend following can be a difficult task, and often requires a higher pain threshold of risk. But here goes anyway, I'll dabble in this for a bit of fun. If you look at the monthly chart of the KLCI, and project the Fib levels of the move from A to B, from C, we get an ultimate target level of around 1290. Bear in mind that it will take months to reach that level, if it ever comes at all. Posted by Picasa

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"There is the plain fool who does the wrong thing at all times anywhere, but there is the Wall Street fool who thinks he must trade all the time."J Livermore Manchester City FCl Crude Palm Oil

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From Dragons and Bulls by Stanley Kroll
Introduction and Foreword
The Importance of an Investment Strategy
5 The Art of War, by Sun Tau (circa 506 BC) and The Art of Trading Success (circa AD 1994)
That's the way you want to bet
Long-term v Short term trading
Technicals v Fundamentals
Perception v Reality
Part 1: Winners and Losers
Part 2: Winners and Losers
Sun Tzu: The Art of War
Those who tell don't know, those who know don't tell
Why there is no such thing as a "bad market"
The Secret to Trading Success
The Experts, do they know better?
Risk control and money management
Larry Hite: The Billion Dollar fund Manager
Systems Trading:Kroll's Suggested Method
Buy the Strength Sell the Weakness
Good advice
The 'good bets' business by Larry Hite
Don't lose your shirt
Ed Sykota's secret trend trading system